Rules: $100 → $300 target. Max 3 plays/day, max 5% bankroll/play, max 2-leg parlays.
Quarter-Kelly sizing. Strict CLV scoring (morning lock price only).
Stop-loss at $50. Status reason: n/a
Tomorrow's locked plays 3 picks, $5.00 staked
Dusan Lajovic vs Lukas Neumayer
Pinnacle-anchored: model 52% vs Pin 48% (Δ 3.8pp). Kalshi market 48c -> +4.1pp edge.
@ 48.0c · our_p 52.1% · mkt 48.0% · Pin 48.4% (Δ 3.8pp) · EV/$ 0.086
Daniil Glinka vs Kimmer Coppejans
Pinnacle-anchored: model 51% vs Pin 49% (Δ 2.4pp). Kalshi market 48c -> +3.3pp edge.
@ 48.0c · our_p 51.3% · mkt 48.0% · Pin 48.9% (Δ 2.4pp) · EV/$ 0.069
Martin Landaluce vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Pinnacle-anchored: model 62% vs Pin 59% (Δ 2.8pp). Kalshi market 59c -> +2.8pp edge.
@ 59.0c · our_p 61.8% · mkt 59.0% · Pin 59.1% (Δ 2.8pp) · EV/$ 0.048
Yesterday's grades
0 picks locked. 0 candidates rejected by lane filters / caps.
Equity curve 0 data points
No equity points yet — bankroll starts at $100. First lock seeds the curve.
Lane performance live since 2026-06-22
| Lane | n | W-L | Win rate | Mean CLV | P&L | Weight |
|---|
| A · Pinnacle-anchored | 15 | 7-8 | 0.467 | +3.42pp | $+3.66 | 40% |
| B · Fade trade | 0 | 0-0 | — | — | $+0.00 | 20% |
| C · Cross-tournament fav parlays | 0 | 0-0 | — | — | $+0.00 | 40% |
Recent lessons
No lessons yet. The grader writes one each day to ~/.claude/projects/.../memory/challenge_lessons_<date>.md.
Data freshness
Kalshi DB: 0.0hEdges CSV: 0.0hPinnacle live: 0.0hResults DB: 3.1h